CNBC民意调查：选民表示个人财务状况好于国家经济状况 2

1

[14] So, a lot of success there in bringing down inflation, but not the price level. And that's what has people essentially tied up in fits on this issue here.

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因此，在降低通货膨胀方面取得了很大的成功，但没有降低价格水平。这就是人们在这个问题上纠结的原因。

2

[15] What we see is that a large portion still see prices rising, and a good portion of them still see them rising faster than they had been before that 45%, only 16% say they're leveling off, and 6% say they're going down, which is not what the data say.

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我们看到的是，很大一部分人仍然认为价格在上涨，其中很大一部分人仍然认为价格上涨的速度比以前更快，45%的人认为价格在企稳，只有16%的人认为价格在下降，这与数据显示的情况不同。

3

[16] But you can't argue. People say, "Look, the data say this," and people say, "Well, it's really my life experience that is governing how I feel about things."

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但你不能争辩。人们会说，“看，数据是这样说的。”人们会说，“嗯，我的生活经历决定了我对事物的看法。”

4

[17] And then the next part of it, Christian, maybe just jump a little bit ahead, is the issue is, are people keeping pace with inflation? And more than 60% say they're not.

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接下来，克里斯蒂安，也许我要稍微超前一点，问题是，人们是否跟上了通货膨胀的步伐？超过60%的人说他们没有。

5

[18] They believe their incomes are not going up along with inflation, even though the last year we've seen real or inflation-adjusted earnings have one of their best years in the past 10.

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他们认为自己的收入不会随着通货膨胀而增长，尽管去年我们看到实际收入或经通胀调整后的收入是过去10年里最好的一年之一。

6

[19] It's just fascinating to dig into the numbers. The other key finding here is that people are expecting the economy to get better in the next year. What do you make of that? What's behind those numbers?

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钻研这些数字真的很有趣。另一个重要发现是，人们预计明年经济会好转。你怎么看？这些数字的背后是什么？

7

[20] So, we have gone back now, I've been doing this poll, if you can believe it, for something like 17 years now, every quarter, forever. And it seems that every four years, we get a jump in this. "Things are going to get better." And it's driven by.

显示译文▼

所以，我们现在回到了过去，我一直在做这个调查，如果你能相信的话，大概17年了，每个季度，永远。似乎每四年，我们就会在这方面有一个飞跃。“情况会好转的。”这就是它的驱动力。

8

[21] Now, we had a jump in Republicans thinking things are going to get better, and a jump in Democrats who think things are going to get better, which you might expect.

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现在，共和党人认为情况会变好，民主党人认为情况会变好，这是你可以预料到的。

9

[22] By the way, with a poll that's tied, even where both sides think they have a flip of a coin chance of winning here. So, we did get this little bump on things getting better.

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顺便说一下，民意调查结果是一样的，即使双方都认为他们有抛硬币的机会获胜。所以，我们确实取得了一些进展，一切都在好转。

10

[23] The other time, it's interesting, Christian, when we see people think things are going to get better is when things are really bad right now.

显示译文▼

另一方面，很有趣的是，克里斯蒂安，当我们看到人们认为事情会变得更好的时候，其实是在事情真的很糟糕的时候。

11

[24] So in the middle of the Great Financial Crisis, everybody said, "Well, things are terrible now. We think they're going to get better in the future." That tends to be the way people believe things.

显示译文▼

所以在金融危机中期，每个人都说，现在情况很糟糕。我们认为他们在未来会变得更好。”这往往是人们相信事情的方式。

12

[25] But you're right, there's a big political aspect to it. But the economy has been doing pretty well. We have a low unemployment rate, we've had strong growth, and again, real wages have made a really strong turnaround, but perhaps not enough to show up in the poll.

显示译文▼

不过你说得对，这当中确实存在很大的政治因素。但经济形势一直不错。我们的失业率很低，经济增长强劲，而且实际薪酬也有了显著的回升，但也许还不足以在民调中体现出来。

13

[26] Well, thank you for digging into all of the numbers for us, Steve Liesman. Always great to have you and have your fantastic insights. Really appreciate it. - My pleasure.

显示译文▼

谢谢你为我们研究这些数据，史蒂夫·利斯曼。很高兴能有你和你的真知灼见。非常感谢。 - 这是我的荣幸。

1

因此，在降低通货膨胀方面取得了很大的成功，但没有降低价格水平。这就是人们在这个问题上纠结的原因。

显示原文▼

[14] So, a lot of success there in bringing down inflation, but not the price level. And that's what has people essentially tied up in fits on this issue here.

2

我们看到的是，很大一部分人仍然认为价格在上涨，其中很大一部分人仍然认为价格上涨的速度比以前更快，45%的人认为价格在企稳，只有16%的人认为价格在下降，这与数据显示的情况不同。

显示原文▼

[15] What we see is that a large portion still see prices rising, and a good portion of them still see them rising faster than they had been before that 45%, only 16% say they're leveling off, and 6% say they're going down, which is not what the data say.

3

但你不能争辩。人们会说，“看，数据是这样说的。”人们会说，“嗯，我的生活经历决定了我对事物的看法。”

显示原文▼

[16] But you can't argue. People say, "Look, the data say this," and people say, "Well, it's really my life experience that is governing how I feel about things."

4

接下来，克里斯蒂安，也许我要稍微超前一点，问题是，人们是否跟上了通货膨胀的步伐？超过60%的人说他们没有。

显示原文▼

[17] And then the next part of it, Christian, maybe just jump a little bit ahead, is the issue is, are people keeping pace with inflation? And more than 60% say they're not.

5

他们认为自己的收入不会随着通货膨胀而增长，尽管去年我们看到实际收入或经通胀调整后的收入是过去10年里最好的一年之一。

显示原文▼

[18] They believe their incomes are not going up along with inflation, even though the last year we've seen real or inflation-adjusted earnings have one of their best years in the past 10.

6

钻研这些数字真的很有趣。另一个重要发现是，人们预计明年经济会好转。你怎么看？这些数字的背后是什么？

显示原文▼

[19] It's just fascinating to dig into the numbers. The other key finding here is that people are expecting the economy to get better in the next year. What do you make of that? What's behind those numbers?

7

所以，我们现在回到了过去，我一直在做这个调查，如果你能相信的话，大概17年了，每个季度，永远。似乎每四年，我们就会在这方面有一个飞跃。“情况会好转的。”这就是它的驱动力。

显示原文▼

[20] So, we have gone back now, I've been doing this poll, if you can believe it, for something like 17 years now, every quarter, forever. And it seems that every four years, we get a jump in this. "Things are going to get better." And it's driven by.

8

现在，共和党人认为情况会变好，民主党人认为情况会变好，这是你可以预料到的。

显示原文▼

[21] Now, we had a jump in Republicans thinking things are going to get better, and a jump in Democrats who think things are going to get better, which you might expect.

9

顺便说一下，民意调查结果是一样的，即使双方都认为他们有抛硬币的机会获胜。所以，我们确实取得了一些进展，一切都在好转。

显示原文▼

[22] By the way, with a poll that's tied, even where both sides think they have a flip of a coin chance of winning here. So, we did get this little bump on things getting better.

10

另一方面，很有趣的是，克里斯蒂安，当我们看到人们认为事情会变得更好的时候，其实是在事情真的很糟糕的时候。

显示原文▼

[23] The other time, it's interesting, Christian, when we see people think things are going to get better is when things are really bad right now.

11

所以在金融危机中期，每个人都说，现在情况很糟糕。我们认为他们在未来会变得更好。”这往往是人们相信事情的方式。

显示原文▼

[24] So in the middle of the Great Financial Crisis, everybody said, "Well, things are terrible now. We think they're going to get better in the future." That tends to be the way people believe things.

12

不过你说得对，这当中确实存在很大的政治因素。但经济形势一直不错。我们的失业率很低，经济增长强劲，而且实际薪酬也有了显著的回升，但也许还不足以在民调中体现出来。

显示原文▼

[25] But you're right, there's a big political aspect to it. But the economy has been doing pretty well. We have a low unemployment rate, we've had strong growth, and again, real wages have made a really strong turnaround, but perhaps not enough to show up in the poll.

13

谢谢你为我们研究这些数据，史蒂夫·利斯曼。很高兴能有你和你的真知灼见。非常感谢。 - 这是我的荣幸。

显示原文▼

[26] Well, thank you for digging into all of the numbers for us, Steve Liesman. Always great to have you and have your fantastic insights. Really appreciate it. - My pleasure.

1

[14] So, a lot of success there in bringing down inflation, but not the price level. And that's what has people essentially tied up in fits on this issue here.
2

[15] What we see is that a large portion still see prices rising, and a good portion of them still see them rising faster than they had been before that 45%, only 16% say they're leveling off, and 6% say they're going down, which is not what the data say.
3

[16] But you can't argue. People say, "Look, the data say this," and people say, "Well, it's really my life experience that is governing how I feel about things."
4

[17] And then the next part of it, Christian, maybe just jump a little bit ahead, is the issue is, are people keeping pace with inflation? And more than 60% say they're not.
5

[18] They believe their incomes are not going up along with inflation, even though the last year we've seen real or inflation-adjusted earnings have one of their best years in the past 10.
6

[19] It's just fascinating to dig into the numbers. The other key finding here is that people are expecting the economy to get better in the next year. What do you make of that? What's behind those numbers?
7

[20] So, we have gone back now, I've been doing this poll, if you can believe it, for something like 17 years now, every quarter, forever. And it seems that every four years, we get a jump in this. "Things are going to get better." And it's driven by.
8

[21] Now, we had a jump in Republicans thinking things are going to get better, and a jump in Democrats who think things are going to get better, which you might expect.
9

[22] By the way, with a poll that's tied, even where both sides think they have a flip of a coin chance of winning here. So, we did get this little bump on things getting better.
10

[23] The other time, it's interesting, Christian, when we see people think things are going to get better is when things are really bad right now.
11

[24] So in the middle of the Great Financial Crisis, everybody said, "Well, things are terrible now. We think they're going to get better in the future." That tends to be the way people believe things.
12

[25] But you're right, there's a big political aspect to it. But the economy has been doing pretty well. We have a low unemployment rate, we've had strong growth, and again, real wages have made a really strong turnaround, but perhaps not enough to show up in the poll.
13

[26] Well, thank you for digging into all of the numbers for us, Steve Liesman. Always great to have you and have your fantastic insights. Really appreciate it. - My pleasure.

CNBC民意调查：选民表示个人财务状况好于国家经济状况 2

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